A spread involves two transactions that simultaneously take one long position (buying) and one short position (selling) on two different contracts. Gains occur with a positive price change in one position more than offsetting a negative price change in the other. In rare situations, both “legs” of the spread may simultaneously be reflecting a gain.
A futures spread simply refers to the difference in value between two futures contracts. There are two basic types:
In managing the risk of an adverse change in cash prices, there are essentially two risks exposed to this change in price. A cash price consists of both a futures component or benchmark price, as well as a basis differential that relates that futures value or benchmark to a local cash market in which the commodity will be priced. By definition:
Often, futures are used as a hedge against an adverse move in cash prices. If futures are priced as a substitute to a cash purchase or sale, then this element of price is covered or hedged; however, the basis differential remains a floating variable to the final determinant price and is itself exposed to adverse variation in its value between the time the futures are hedged and the time the hedge is removed and the cash price is set in the local market.
As an alternative to forward pricing basis, futures spreads can be used to hedge the basis element of a cash price. The reasoning behind this is that basis and spreads tend to move together. For example, in situations where the cash market is very strong, basis tends to be increasing. This typically is reflected in the spot futures contract gaining relative to deferred contracts. In the opposite case where the cash market is very weak, basis tends to be decreasing and this usually corresponds with spot futures declining relative to deferred contracts.
A bull spread is a position that includes an order to buy a nearby futures contract and sell a deferred futures contract. A bull spread can gain in value when nearby futures are increasing at a faster rate or decreasing at a slower rate relative as compared to deferred futures. Bull spreads are commonly used to assist in managing the risk of a strengthening basis – ahead of actually buying the basis with a supplier.
A bear spread is a position that includes an order to sell a nearby futures contract and buy a deferred futures contract. A bear spread can gain in value when nearby futures are decreasing at a faster rate or increasing at a slower rate relative to deferred futures. Bear spreads are commonly used to assist in managing the risk of a weakening basis – after buying the basis with a supplier.
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